ZHANG Jing; LI Tian Tian; TAN Jian Guo; HUANG Cun Rui; andKAN Hai Dong

doi:10.3967/bes2014.080

Impact ofTemperature onMortality inThree Major Chinese Cities

ZHANG Jing, LI Tian Tian, TAN Jian Guo, HUANG Cun Rui, andKAN Hai Dong

文章导航 > Biomedical and Environmental Sciences > 2014 > 27(7): 485-494

ZHANG Jing, LI Tian Tian, TAN Jian Guo, HUANG Cun Rui, andKAN Hai Dong. Impact ofTemperature onMortality inThree Major Chinese Cities[J]. Biomedical and Environmental Sciences, 2014, 27(7): 485-494. doi: 10.3967/bes2014.080

Citation:

ZHANG Jing, LI Tian Tian, TAN Jian Guo, HUANG Cun Rui, andKAN Hai Dong. Impact ofTemperature onMortality inThree Major Chinese Cities[J]. Biomedical and Environmental Sciences, 2014, 27(7): 485-494. doi: 10.3967/bes2014.080

doi: 10.3967/bes2014.080

基金项目: the Gong-Yi Program of Ministry of Environmental Protection(201209008)%the Open Funds of Key Lab of Climate and Health of Shanghai(QXJK201205)

Impact ofTemperature onMortality inThree Major Chinese Cities

School of Public Health, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety of Ministry of Education, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, China
Institute of Environmental Health and Related Product Safety, China Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100021, China
Shanghai Key Laboratory of Meteorology and Health, Shanghai Meteorological Institute, SMB, Shanghai 200030, China
School of Public Health and Institute of Health and Biomedical Innovation, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland 4059, Australia

Funds: the Gong-Yi Program of Ministry of Environmental Protection(201209008)%the Open Funds of Key Lab of Climate and Health of Shanghai(QXJK201205)

摘要: ObjectiveTo study therelationbetween temperature andmortalitybyestimatingthe temperature-related mortality in Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou. MethodsData of daily mortality, weather and air pollutioninthe three citieswere collected.A distributed lag nonlinear model wasestablishedand used in analyzing theeffects oftemperatureon mortality. Current and future net temperature-related mortality was estimated. ResultsThe association between temperature and mortality was J-shaped, withanincreased death riskof both hot and cold temperature in thesecities. The effects of cold temperatureonhealth lasted longer thanthoseof hot temperature.Theprojected temperature-related mortality increasedwith the decreasedcold-related mortality.Themortalitywas higher inGuangzhouthan inBeijing and Shanghai. ConclusionThe impact of temperatureonhealth varies inthe 3 cities of China, which may have implications for climate policy making in China.
- /
- /
- /
Abstract: ObjectiveTo study therelationbetween temperature andmortalitybyestimatingthe temperature-related mortality in Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou. MethodsData of daily mortality, weather and air pollutioninthe three citieswere collected.A distributed lag nonlinear model wasestablishedand used in analyzing theeffects oftemperatureon mortality. Current and future net temperature-related mortality was estimated. ResultsThe association between temperature and mortality was J-shaped, withanincreased death riskof both hot and cold temperature in thesecities. The effects of cold temperatureonhealth lasted longer thanthoseof hot temperature.Theprojected temperature-related mortality increasedwith the decreasedcold-related mortality.Themortalitywas higher inGuangzhouthan inBeijing and Shanghai. ConclusionThe impact of temperatureonhealth varies inthe 3 cities of China, which may have implications for climate policy making in China.
- Climate change /
- Temperature /
- Mortality /
- Time-series

[1]	ZHAI Yi, SI Xiang, WANG Wen Zhi, ZHAO Wen Hua. Effect of Age and Sex on Stroke Mortality of Young and Middle-aged Adults in China, 2002–2019, and Predictions to 2030 . Biomedical and Environmental Sciences, 2023, 36(4): 305-312. doi: 10.3967/bes2023.036
[2]	HONG Le, YAN Miao Miao, ZHANG Yun Quan, WANG Kai, WANG Ya Qi, LUO Si Qi, WANG Fang. Global Burden of Cardiovascular Disease Attributable to High Temperature in 204 Countries and Territories from 1990 to 2019 . Biomedical and Environmental Sciences, 2023, 36(3): 222-230. doi: 10.3967/bes2023.025
[3]	The Writing Committee of the Report on Cardiovascular Health and Diseases in China. Report on Cardiovascular Health and Diseases in China 2021: An Updated Summary . Biomedical and Environmental Sciences, 2022, 35(7): 573-603. doi: 10.3967/bes2022.079
[4]	TONG Shi Lu, Jorn Olsen, Patrick L. Kinney. Climate Change and Temperature-related Mortality: Implications for Health-related Climate Policy . Biomedical and Environmental Sciences, 2021, 34(5): 379-386. doi: 10.3967/bes2021.050
[5]	WANG Zi Xian, CHENG Yi Bin, WANG Yu, WANG Yan, ZHANG Xin Hang, SONG He Jia, LI Yong Hong, YAO Xiao Yuan. Burden of Outpatient Visits Attributable to Ambient Temperature in Qingdao, China . Biomedical and Environmental Sciences, 2021, 34(5): 395-399. doi: 10.3967/bes2021.052
[6]	LAI Yu Ji, LIU Er Yong, WANG Li Ming, Jamie P MORANO, WANG Ning, Kaveh KHOSHNOOD, ZHOU Lin, CHENG Shi Ming. Human Immunodeficiency Virus Infection-Associated Mortality during Pulmonary Tuberculosis Treatment in Six Provinces of China . Biomedical and Environmental Sciences, 2015, 28(6): 421-428. doi: 10.3967/bes2015.059
[7]	QU Hong Mei, BAI Ya Na, CHENG Ning, DAI Min, ZHENG Tong Zhang, WANG Dennis, LI Hai Yan, HU Xiao Bin, LI Juan Sheng, REN Xiao Wei, SHANG Hui. Trend Analysis of Cancer Mortality in the Jinchang Cohort, China, 2001-2010 . Biomedical and Environmental Sciences, 2015, 28(5): 364-369. doi: 10.3967/bes2015.050
[8]	ZHANG Ying, WANG Shi Gong, MA Yu Xia, SHANG Ke Zheng, CHENG Yi Fan, LI Xu, NING Gui Cai, ZHAO Wen Jing, LI Nai Rong. Association between Ambient Air Pollution and Hospital Emergency Admissions for Respiratory and Cardiovascular Diseases in Beijing:a Time Series Study . Biomedical and Environmental Sciences, 2015, 28(5): 352-363. doi: 10.3967/bes2015.049
[9]	OU Chun Quan, YANG Jun, OU Qiao Qun, LIU Hua Zhang, LIN Guo Zhen, CHEN Ping Yan, QIAN Jun. The Impact of Relative Humidity and Atmospheric Pressure on Mortality in Guangzhou, China . Biomedical and Environmental Sciences, 2014, 27(12): 917-925. doi: 10.3967/bes2014.132
[10]	GE Wen Zhen, XU Feng, ZHAO Zhuo Hui, ZHAO Jin Zhuo, KAN Hai Dong. Association Between Diurnal Temperature Range and Respiratory Tract Infections . Biomedical and Environmental Sciences, 2013, 26(3): 222-225. doi: 10.3967/0895-3988.2013.03.009
[11]	TENG Huai Jin, ZHEN Shan, WANG Min Zhen, LI Bei, YIN Ling, LI Jing Xin, WANG Shi Gong. Diurnal Temperature Range and Daily Emergency Room Admissions among the Elderly in Beijing, China . Biomedical and Environmental Sciences, 2013, 26(10): 857-860. doi: 10.3967/bes2013.010
[12]	YANG Jun, LIU Hua Zhang, OU Chun Quan, LIN Guo Zhen, DING Yan, ZHOU Qin, SHEN Ji Chuan, CHEN Ping Yan. Impact of Heat Wave in 2005 on Mortality in Guangzhou, China . Biomedical and Environmental Sciences, 2013, 26(8): 647-654. doi: 10.3967/0895-3988.2013.08.003
[13]	LI Tian Tian, GAO Yan Lin, WEI Zai Hua, WANG Jing, GUO Ya Fei, LIU Fan, LIU Zhao Rong, CHENG Yan Li. Assessing Heat-related Mortality Risks in Beijing, China . Biomedical and Environmental Sciences, 2012, 25(4): 458-464. doi: 10.3967/0895-3988.2012.04.011
[14]	ZHENG XiaoYing, SONG XinMing, CHEN Gong, YOU YunZhong, REN Qiang, LIU JuFen, ZHANG Lei, TAN LingFang, WEI JiHong, CHEN QiuYuan. Health Inequalities during 20 Years of Rapid Economic Development in China (1980-2000): A Mortality Analysis . Biomedical and Environmental Sciences, 2011, 24(4): 329-334. doi: 10.3967/0895-3988.2011.04.002
[15]	WEN HongBo, ZHANG ZhenXin, HUANG JueBin, DUAN LeiLei, WANG QingHua. Mortality of Dementia and Its Major Subtypes in Urban and Rural Communities of Beijing . Biomedical and Environmental Sciences, 2011, 24(5): 483-490. doi: 10.3967/0895-3988.2011.05.005
[16]	HUA-JUN FENG, LI-FANG HU, DAN SHAN, CHENG-RAN FANG, DONG-SHENG SHEN. Effects of Temperature and Hydraulic Residence Time (HRT) on Treatment of Dilute Wastewater in a Carrier Anaerobic Baffled Reactor . Biomedical and Environmental Sciences, 2008, 21(6): 460-466.
[17]	GUO-HAI CHEN, GUI-XIANG SONG, LI-LI JIANG, YUN-HUI ZHANG, NAI-QING ZHAO, BING-HENG CHEN, HAI-DONG KAN. Interaction Between Ambient Particles and Ozone and Its Effect on Daily Mortality . Biomedical and Environmental Sciences, 2007, 20(6): 502-505.
[18]	S.ZARGAR, K. KRISHNAMURTHI, S. SARAVANA DEVI, T. K. GHOSH, T. CHAKRABARTI. Temperature-Induced Stress on Growth and Expression of Hsp in Freshwater alga Scenedesmus quadricauda . Biomedical and Environmental Sciences, 2006, 19(6): 414-421.
[19]	LU LI, TONG-DA SUN, Xing ZHANG, RUI-NAN LAI, XIU-YANG LI, XUE-JIN FAN, KENJI MORINAGA. Cohort Studies on Cancer Mortality Among Workers Exposed Only to Chrysotile Asbestos:a Meta-analysis . Biomedical and Environmental Sciences, 2004, 17(4): 459-468.
[20]	HAI-DONG KAN, JIAN JIA, BING-HENG CHEN. Temperature and Daily Mortality in Shanghai: A Time-series Study . Biomedical and Environmental Sciences, 2003, 16(2): 133-139.

点击查看大图

计量

文章访问数: 1383
HTML全文浏览量: 419
PDF下载量: 77
被引次数: 0

Impact ofTemperature onMortality inThree Major Chinese Cities

doi: 10.3967/bes2014.080

基金项目: the Gong-Yi Program of Ministry of Environmental Protection(201209008)%the Open Funds of Key Lab of Climate and Health of Shanghai(QXJK201205)

刊出日期: 2014-07-20

关键词:

Climate change /

Temperature /

Mortality /

Time-series

摘要: ObjectiveTo study therelationbetween temperature andmortalitybyestimatingthe temperature-related mortality in Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou. MethodsData of daily mortality, weather and air pollutioninthe three citieswere collected.A distributed lag nonlinear model wasestablishedand used in analyzing theeffects oftemperatureon mortality. Current and future net temperature-related mortality was estimated. ResultsThe association between temperature and mortality was J-shaped, withanincreased death riskof both hot and cold temperature in thesecities. The effects of cold temperatureonhealth lasted longer thanthoseof hot temperature.Theprojected temperature-related mortality increasedwith the decreasedcold-related mortality.Themortalitywas higher inGuangzhouthan inBeijing and Shanghai. ConclusionThe impact of temperatureonhealth varies inthe 3 cities of China, which may have implications for climate policy making in China.

English Abstract

Impact ofTemperature onMortality inThree Major Chinese Cities

School of Public Health, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety of Ministry of Education, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, China

Institute of Environmental Health and Related Product Safety, China Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100021, China

Shanghai Key Laboratory of Meteorology and Health, Shanghai Meteorological Institute, SMB, Shanghai 200030, China

School of Public Health and Institute of Health and Biomedical Innovation, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland 4059, Australia

Funds: the Gong-Yi Program of Ministry of Environmental Protection(201209008)%the Open Funds of Key Lab of Climate and Health of Shanghai(QXJK201205)

Publish Date: 2014-07-20

Keywords:

Abstract: ObjectiveTo study therelationbetween temperature andmortalitybyestimatingthe temperature-related mortality in Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou. MethodsData of daily mortality, weather and air pollutioninthe three citieswere collected.A distributed lag nonlinear model wasestablishedand used in analyzing theeffects oftemperatureon mortality. Current and future net temperature-related mortality was estimated. ResultsThe association between temperature and mortality was J-shaped, withanincreased death riskof both hot and cold temperature in thesecities. The effects of cold temperatureonhealth lasted longer thanthoseof hot temperature.Theprojected temperature-related mortality increasedwith the decreasedcold-related mortality.Themortalitywas higher inGuangzhouthan inBeijing and Shanghai. ConclusionThe impact of temperatureonhealth varies inthe 3 cities of China, which may have implications for climate policy making in China.

Citation: